The 2023 HighPoint.com 400 will take place on Sunday at Pocono Raceway. With only six weeks remaining until the start of the NASCAR Playoffs, the intensity is ratcheting up. There have been 11 playoff-eligible winners so far this season, leaving five spots up for grabs via points, but that number will shrink with every additional first-time winner. The 2023 NASCAR at Pocono green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET. Between his win in Kansas and his fourth-place status in the standings, Denny Hamlin is well on his way to the postseason, but the six-time Pocono winner is still the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 Pocono NASCAR odds from Caesars Sportsbook.
Hamlin is followed by Martin Truex Jr. (11-2), Kyle Busch (6-1), Kyle Larson (7-1) and William Byron (17-2) in the 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds. Before scouring the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Pocono predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Pocono NASCAR picks from SportsLine’s proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure’s model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021.Â
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard.
Top 2023 HighPoint 400 predictions
For the 2023 HighPoint.com 400, the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he’s a 12-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion missed several races because of a broken leg he suffered during a skiing accident and hasn’t managed a win this season, so his back is against the wall.
He’s 23rd in the NASCAR standings with 11 winless drivers ahead of him, so he’s likely in a position where he has to win one of the next six races. Now, he’ll return to Pocono Raceway, where he was awarded the win in last year’s M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 after Hamlin was disqualified for failing a post-race inspection. Elliott has only finished worse than 13th twice in 13 starts this season and he’s a threat to go to the front again at Pocono Raceway. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Hamlin, the Vegas favorite at 5-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 starting lineup. Hamlin’s six wins at Pocono are tied with Jeff Gordon for the most in NASCAR history, which has a heavy influence over his status as the race favorite.
It looked like he had added a seventh win last season to take the record for himself but Hamlin was disqualified after a post-race inspection revealed extra material on the front fascia of his car. Hamlin also finished 14th in his previous start at Pocono and has finished outside the top 10 in three of his last five races entering this week. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Pocono picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the HighPoint.com 400 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed seven winners in 2023.
2023 HighPoint 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See full 2023 NASCAR at Pocono picks at SportsLine
Denny Hamlin 5-1
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Kyle Busch 6-1
Kyle Larson 7-1
William Byron 17-2
Ross Chastain 19-2
Christopher Bell 11-1
Chase Elliott 12-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Tyler Reddick 12-1
Joey Logano 16-1
Kevin Harvick 16-1
Brad Keselowski 30-1
Daniel Suarez 30-1
Bubba Wallace 30-1
Ty Gibbs 35-1
Alex Bowman 40-1
Chris Buescher 65-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
A.J. Allmendinger 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1
Erik Jones 150-1
Ryan Preece 200-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Chase Briscoe 300-1
Austin Cindric 300-1
Michael McDowell 300-1
Corey Lajoie 750-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 2000-1
Cole Custer 2000-1
Noah Gragson 2500-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Ty Dillon 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
